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Should I Sell My Business Now, Or Hold Off A Few Years?

by | November 28, 2019 | Restructuring & Special Situations, Value Creation, M&A, Sell-side, Owner Considerations, Strategic Advisory, Exit Planning

Reading Time: 3 minutes

Many business owners struggle with whether to sell their business or hold on a bit longer. Their trepidation is rooted in their uncertainty over which option yields the most rewarding outcome. We often see this level of doubt creep in with business owners who have a letter of intent in their hands from a prospective buyer.

The final numbers, as outlined in the offer, get the business owner thinking: if the purchase price is 4x earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization (EBITDA) it would take just a few years to put that same amount of money back into my own pocket, and I would still have a company to sell.

This train of thought will lead the business owner to believe that their company would then be worth even more in a few years than it is now … so why not delay selling?

Clearly this is not always the case. Sure, the value of a company can increase over time; but the inverse is just as true. Perhaps more importantly, it is unlikely that the owner will be able to put the same amount of money into his or her pocket over just a handful of years that they would have made from a sale.

More realistically, the owner would have to hold onto the company for a decade, or longer, to reap the same benefits of selling the business.

That length of time is not necessarily possible for some owners (depending on age, health, etc.) and likely not ideal for many others.

The owner in this scenario is failing to consider certain elements when assuming they will come out on top by holding onto the company a few years longer:

  • You must subtract the cost of capital expenditures and interest paid
  • You must also subtract all federal, state, and local income taxes
  • EBITDA is not free clash flow to the shareholder
  • EBITDA must be adjusted for any changes made in working capital

EBITDA and a company’s value – more than meets the eye

One of the issues at hand here are two misconceptions about EBITDA:

  1. That knowing the EBITDA, along with a common multiple, will offer the company’s value
  2. That EBITDA is money that the owner can take home

Both of these misconceptions are incorrect, and can lead owners to make poor decisions when it comes time to sell.

What really is at play here is FCFF (Free Cash Flow to the Firm) and FCFE (Free Cash Flow to Equity). FCFF is the true determining factor in valuation and FCFE is the benefit the owner gains.

By determining both FCFF and FCFE, a business owner will have a clearer picture of how long it would take to generate the same numbers as a sale would produce. More often than not, the length of time it would take to generate that same number is longer than the owner would have assumed.

But the story does not end there. The money the business owner acquired from the sale is not going to just sit around untouched. Chances are the owner will invest it, meaning that money can generate yearly returns for the owner in the same manner as their business generated returns. It is quite possible, in fact, that these investments will yield higher returns (certainly if the owner is willing to venture into higher risk investments).

When you factor in the amount of returns that could be earned from the money acquired after the sale, it becomes clear that it would take a lot longer than a few years to make up the difference of what could have been earned from a sale. 

The argument against ‘I still have a company to sell’

One of the arguments used to delay a sale is that, if an owner holds on for just a few more years to put more money in their pocket, they would still have a company to sell.

There is no question that this is true; however, if the proceeds of the sale were converted into an investment, the owner would still have an investment to sell. In other words, arguing that it is not worth selling because there is some type of asset to play with later on is moot, seeing as an alternative investment (made from the sale of a company) can easily fill the role of that asset.

Not only that, but selling off part, or all, of an investment is a far easier feat to accomplish than selling a company. Often times, the sale of an investment can be done in a day, versus up to a year (or more) for a company.

When is it a good time to hold on?

Deciding to hold onto your company is a decision worth making if you have a concrete and realistic plan to grow your business specifically to increase the benefit of business ownership over alternative investments.

If no such plan is in place, the owner should strongly consider both the risk and reward of selling now, and using that money toward more liquid investments.

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